Dr. Douglas Woodward,
professor of economics and director of the Moore School's Division of Research,
traveled to China in January as part of a Center for International Business Education and Research
(CIBER) event sponsored through the University of Colorado-Denver and the University of
Wisconsin-Madison. (The Moore School also hosts a CIBER office, funded through the U.S. Department
of Education.) Woodward last visited China five years ago. His recent visit provided an opportunity
to see first-hand the profound change and economic growth that has taken place in China.
Q. Contrast what you saw during your recent visit to China
with your visit five years ago.
The first thing that strikes you is that airports that were old and grimy five years ago are
the opposite now-Guangzhou, for example, a major city in the south of China, has a brand new
airport, and not just thrown together, it's esthetically pleasing, meant to give a very positive
image of China. There are new highway systems being built all over; they are rapidly moving into
the automobile age. Of course there is a concern from the perspective of pollution and global
warming.
Another example is the incredible growth around Shanghai. The Pudong area across the river
from the main city was formerly the site of rice fields and small-scale factories. Now it is a
business center that rivals any in the world. It's astounding. There are so many buildings going
up, it's imposing-one skyscraper after another, all filled with tenants and very sophisticated.
China's building boom has benefited from a great deal of private investment, much of it from
elsewhere in Asia-including Taiwan. There seems to be a competition to see who can build the
tallest buildings in the world. The developers bring in top architects from around the world, and
you see some really jaw-dropping architecture already in place. Beyond the glitzy skyscrapers,
there are many problems in China, of course-for example, housing. In the major cities people are
crowded into small apartments. But the quality of life has improved for the average Chinese.
There's a rapidly growing middle class that can afford detached, single-family homes, which you see
rising across the landscape outside the city centers.
Q. What were your impressions of the educational
system there?
We visited a number of universities, meeting with top business school faculty and leading
researchers. This was the most "eye-opening" experience for me. China is rapidly gaining ground in
higher education. The most remarkable example is a university city being built near Guangzhou in
the southern part of the country. The government took over a whole island to build a series of
campuses, which will eventually accommodate 500,000 students. In three years time, much of this
massive project is completed and students are attending classes. The students we talked with seemed
to be to be thrilled to have an opportunity to get a college degree. The desire to learn is
incredible. For example, on Friday nights the students do not party, they hold debates, honing
their rhetorical skills in English. You get a sense there is a different attitude toward education.
The Chinese seem to have a national consensus about economic development and education...
they are putting the resources behind it.
Q. What are the implications for our economy and
competitiveness given the rapid economic growth in China?
The Chinese are able to pursue big infrastructure projects much more quickly than we are in
the United States. It could be said that they have the "ultimate eminent domain"- the government
owns all the land. So they can transform large areas quickly. Along with education, they are vastly
improving their infrastructure--with new highways, mass transit, and ports. The Pearl River Delta
around Hong Kong and Guangzhou, where millions of people work, has several of the largest ports in
the world, serving their manufacturing exports. Our trade imbalance can be seen in action here. The
Chinese load containers of goods and ship them to North America. These containers come back
essentially empty, except for some agricultural products we trade in China. The huge Chinese trade
surplus helps fuel income growth and fund infrastructure improvements. We help keep this process
going every time we shop at Wal-Mart.
There's really nothing "unfair" about the U.S. trade deficit with China. Ultimately, they are
competitive in manufacturing because they are so productive. There's no question that they have low
wages, but so do many countries. The Chinese have low wages and very high productivity.
As China grows there will be a growing demand for American products. They certainly want our
more sophisticated products- the Boeing Dreamliner, for example, part of which is being made in the
Charleston area. Besides sophisticated manufacturing, the U.S. is competitive in finance and
agriculture. That's our comparative advantage, as we say in economics. The internal market is now
opening for U.S. financial institutions, which are rapidly expanding. There is a huge Chinese
demand for farm exports like cotton and soybeans. There's no question that there will be
opportunity for other products and services as the Chinese consumer market matures.
We need to understand where we can be competitive. Thus, it is good that our state (South
Carolina) is focused strategically on China, with an office in Shanghai. South Carolina is one of
few states to have an economic development office in China, so we are recognizing the importance of
China in our economic development. We can benefit as China emerges as an outward investor. The
Chinese company, Haier, located in Camden, South Carolina, is one of the first Chinese companies to
create an international brand (ranked 1st among China's Top 10 Global Brands in 2005 by Financial
Times).
Q. How does what you have seen and learned in
China influence your teaching, research, and presentations to business leaders?
I teach about global competitiveness and economic development, and you can't teach that
subject without being up-to-speed on China. I also make presentations to business groups, and many
want to understand the U.S. competitive position relative to China, including the trade deficit.
After my trip, I really understand the challenges we face much better.
The trip also helped advance my research, which primarily is focused on economic development
in Africa. Along with Professor Rob Rolfe in International Business, I have begun writing about
China's rapidly expanding influence in Africa-something that is not well-known in the United
States. China is emerging as a major economic superpower and outward investor. Chinese
multinational companies are now investing across the continent and spreading into markets that have
been neglected by Western companies. In 2006, China held a huge summit with African leaders. It
offers an alternative model of economic development that is attracting a lot of attention in
Africa. From the Chinese perspective there is a huge demand for African resources, notably oil and
gas. In turn, China is going into countries such as Sudan and Zimbabwe where the U.S. has
sanctions.
In the end, the main thing I learned from the trip to China-and which I will emphasize in
class and in presentations-is that this country will be an economic force to be reckoned with
throughout the rest of this century. To be sure, there will be constraints on China's continued
growth-limited resources and significant environmental costs, for example. But overall it is a
successful model, one that is different from the West. It's been rapidly expanding for 25 years. By
the end of this century, they may well be the dominant economic power in the world.
- Gail Crouch
July 2007